Stock Market Today: will it be a bulls day today? The Indian stock market is likely to begin Thursday’s session on a cautious note, with the Sensex and Nifty 50 expected to open largely unchanged as investors weigh supportive geopolitical developments against a more restrictive US monetary outlook. While the interim US-Iran peace agreement has lifted global risk appetite and eased concerns over energy supplies, the US Federal Reserve’s latest policy signals have tempered market enthusiasm by hinting that interest rates could remain higher for longer. Despite the mixed global backdrop, domestic equities enter the day with healthy momentum after posting gains for four consecutive sessions. On Wednesday, the Sensex advanced 347.14 points, or 0.45%, to finish at 77,155.62, while the Nifty 50 climbed 96.55 points, or 0.40%, to close at 24,085.70.
For market participants, the current setup presents a delicate balancing act. Softer crude oil prices and improving geopolitical sentiment are supporting investor confidence, but expectations of tighter US monetary policy may continue to limit aggressive buying. As a result, traders may find better opportunities in selective stock-specific plays while keeping a close watch on global developments for the market’s next major trigger.
Stock Market On Wednesday
Sensex
- Closed at 77,155.62
- Gained 347.14 points
- Advanced 0.45%
- Registered its fourth consecutive day of gains
Nifty 50
- Settled at 24,085.70
- Rose 96.55 points
- Added 0.40%
- Extended its winning streak to four straight sessions
Indian benchmark indices are poised for a muted start after extending their winning streak for a fourth straight session. While easing crude oil prices and geopolitical optimism continue to support sentiment, investors remain cautious ahead of fresh global cues and the US Federal Reserve’s policy outlook.
Global And Domestic Cues For The Indian Stock Market Today
- Asian Markets: Asian markets traded higher after the US-Iran peace deal improved investor sentiment. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 1.35% above 71,000 for the first time, Topix gained 1.27%, Kospi rose 0.89%, while Kosdaq slipped 0.5%. Hang Seng futures indicated a weaker opening.
- Gift Nifty: Gift Nifty traded around 24,083, nearly 11 points below the previous Nifty futures close, signalling a flat-to-muted start for the Indian stock market on Thursday.
- Wall Street: US markets closed lower after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged but signalled another possible rate hike this year. The Dow fell 507.12 points (0.98%), the S&P 500 lost 1.21%, while the Nasdaq declined 1.34%.
- Tech Stocks: Selling pressure hit US technology stocks, with Nvidia (-1.33%), Microsoft (-3.79%), Amazon (-3.46%), Alphabet (-2.53%), Apple (-1.10%), Meta (-5.44%), Tesla (-2.05%), and SpaceX (-4.95%) ending in the red.
- US Retail Sales: US retail sales rose 0.9% in May, comfortably beating economists’ expectations of 0.5%, signalling resilient consumer spending despite elevated borrowing costs and supporting the Fed’s cautious policy outlook.
- Treasury Yields: Bond yields climbed following the Fed’s hawkish signals. The US 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.461%, while the 2-year yield climbed to 4.207%, its highest since February 2025. Japan’s 10-year JGB yield also increased to 2.620%, reflecting expectations of tighter monetary policy.
What Will Trigger The Indian Stock Market Today?
US-Iran Peace Deal: Peace Returns, But Markets Stay Alert
After weeks of uncertainty, the US and Iran have finally hit the pause button. The interim peace agreement, now in effect, has eased fears over global oil supplies and boosted investor confidence. But don’t pack away the caution just yet—President Donald Trump warned that military action could resume if the deal is breached, reminding markets that geopolitics can change direction in a heartbeat.
US Fed Policy: Rates on Hold, Hawkishness Intact
The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75%, but it wasn’t exactly a comforting pause. Fresh projections showed nine Fed officials still expect another rate hike before 2026 ends, signalling inflation remains public enemy number one. For traders, the message is clear: the rate hike conversation isn’t over, and markets will continue to react to every major economic data point.
Commodities Market
Aishwarya is a journalism graduate with over 4.5 years of experience thriving in the buzzing corporate media world. She’s got a knack for decoding business news, tracking the twists and turns of the stock market, covering the masala of the entertainment world, and sometimes her stories come with just the right sprinkle of political commentary. She has worked with several organizations, interned at ZEE and gained professional skills at TV9 and News24, And now is learning and writing at NewsX, she’s no stranger to the newsroom hustle. Her storytelling style is fast-paced, creative, and perfectly tailored to connect with both the platform and its audience. Moto: Approaching every story from the reader’s point of view, backing up her insights with solid facts.
Always bold with her opinions, she also never misses the chance to weave in expert voices, keeping things balanced and insightful. In short, Aishwarya brings a fresh, sharp, and fact-driven voice to every story she touches.
