Friday, September 30, 2022

Polstrat-NewsX Pre-Poll Survey 2: Who’s winning Uttarakhand?

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Seat Share & Vote Share Predictions

In Uttarakhand, the Polstrat-NewsX pre-poll survey has predicted BJP’s sweeping victory in assembly elections 2022. Of the 70 seats, BJP is expected to win 37-40 seats with a 39.4% vote share. INC is expected to be a close second by winning 27-30 seats with a 36.5% vote share, and AAP is expected to secure only 3-4 seats with an 11.7% vote share.

Favourite CM Candidate

40.73% of the respondents want current Chief Minister Pushkar Singh Dhami to retain the post in 2022, followed by Harish Rawat (37.01%), Col. Kothiyal (13.65%), others (8.6%). Pushkar Singh Dhami is more popular among females (50.1%) than males (41.6%), in the above-56 age bracket (57.14%), and among Upper Caste Hindus (54.32%).

Poll Rallies Amid Omicron Surge

When asked about conducting physical poll rallies amid a surge in Omicron cases, a whopping 79.56% of respondents were against the idea, while 11.31% of respondents were in favoured the idea.

Voting Issues 

Among various issues, 51.88% of the respondents said jobs are the single biggest voting issue, as compared to hate speech(20%), government stability(11.29%), and Covid management (6.93%).

Impact of New Entrants

The majority of the respondents (62.06%) said that the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) has not made an impact in their area, 14.43% feel AAP has made an impact, while 6.32% said “maybe”. 

Favourite National Leader 

Prime Minister Narendra Modi emerged as the favourite national leader for 60.67% of the respondents. The remaining respondents chose Rahul Gandhi (21.15%), Arvind Kejriwal (10.67%), Mamata Banerjee (3.95%), and others (3.56%).

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