West Bengal Exit Poll 2026 Live Updates: Who Will Form Government? BJP vs TMC Ultimate Battle

This live blog has now ended

West Bengal Exit Poll 2026 Live Updates: The Trinamool Congress (TMC) has rejected the latest exit poll results, with senior leaders calling them detached from “ground reality.” Following the conclusion of Phase 2 polling on Wednesday, TMC leader Kunal Ghosh dismissed the projections as baseless, confidently asserting that the party will sweep more than 235 seats while the BJP will struggle to cross the 50-mark.

Echoing this sentiment, Dr. Shashi Panja urged supporters to ignore the noise and wait for the official counting on May 4. She criticized the conduct of the central forces and the Election Commission, alleging voter deprivation and intimidation. Panja reminded critics of past elections where exit polls predicted a TMC loss only for the party to emerge victorious, stating, “The BJP will lose… the answer will be seen on May 4.”

West Bengal Exit Poll 2026 Live Updates: The Matrize exit poll for the West Bengal Assembly Election 2026 suggests a significant victory for the BJP, projecting the party to win between 146 and 161 seats. This would place them above the 148-seat majority mark required to form the government.

The ruling TMC is expected to follow with 125 to 140 seats, indicating a tight race but ultimately falling short of a third term. Meanwhile, other parties and independents are projected to secure a marginal presence with 6 to 10 seats.

West Bengal Exit Poll 2026 Live Updates: As voting for the 2026 West Bengal Assembly elections concluded on Wednesday evening, the People’s Pulse exit poll projected a decisive victory for the TMC+ alliance. The ruling coalition is estimated to secure between 177 and 187 seats, comfortably crossing the majority mark of 148.

The BJP, while remaining the primary challenger, is projected to land between 95 and 110 seats. The poll suggests a dismal performance for the traditional third front, with the Left Front+ potentially limited to a single seat and the Congress expected to pick up just one to three.

West Bengal Exit Poll 2026 Live Updates: The latest projections from P-Marq suggest a significant political shift in West Bengal, placing the BJP in the lead with an estimated 150–175 seats. This would secure the party a comfortable majority in the 294-seat assembly.

The ruling TMC is projected to slip to 118–138 seats, indicating strong anti-incumbency or a surge in opposition momentum. Meanwhile, the Congress remains a marginal player, with predictions trailing between just 2–6 seats.

TMC: 118-138
BJP: 150-175
Cong: 2-6

West Bengal Exit Poll 2026 Live Updates: Voter participation in West Bengal surged to nearly 90% by 5 PM on Wednesday during the high-stakes second phase of the Assembly elections. Purba Bardhaman remains the most active district with a staggering 92.46% turnout, while the state average continues to climb toward record-breaking levels.

West Bengal Exit Poll 2026 Live Updates: Tensions flared in Canning Paschim as TMC candidate Paresh Ram Das accused CRPF personnel of assaulting and forcibly removing his polling agent, Pradeep Das, from a booth on Wednesday. Das dismissed the security forces’ claims of a prior complaint against the agent as a pretext for violence and confirmed that the party is pursuing legal action and a formal complaint against the involved officer.

West Bengal Exit Poll 2026 Live Updates: Speaking before casting her vote in Bhabanipur on Wednesday, Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee accused central forces of partisan behavior, claiming they are working at the behest of the BJP to influence the polls. Meanwhile, with voting open until 6 PM, political observers suggest the final turnout could rival the staggering 93.19% record set during the first phase.  

West Bengal Exit Poll 2026 Live Updates: Clad in her signature white sari, Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee arrived at a Kolkata polling station on Wednesday afternoon to cast her ballot in the high-stakes Bhabanipur contest. After emerging from the booth, the TMC supremo confidently flashed a victory sign and showed her inked finger to the waiting crowds and media, signaling her party’s optimism in the face-off against BJP’s Suvendu Adhikari.

West Bengal Exit Poll 2026 Live Updates: Voter participation surged during the second phase of the West Bengal Assembly elections, reaching a statewide average of 78.68% by 3 PM on Wednesday. Purba Bardhaman recorded the highest activity at 83.11%, while Kolkata South saw the lowest turnout among the listed districts at 75.38%

West Bengal Exit Poll 2026 Live Updates: In a high-stakes moment on Wednesday morning, Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee and BJP rival Suvendu Adhikari converged at a polling booth in Bhabanipur’s Chakraberia. While the two leaders avoided direct eye contact, the air was thick with tension as they traded sharp barbs from opposite sides of the road.  

Banerjee, who broke her usual voting-day routine to hit the ground early, was stationed at a TMC party office following reports of voter intimidation. Adhikari arrived shortly after with a heavy security detail, dismissing her presence as “frustration” and claiming she had already realized that voters were deserting her party.

West Bengal Exit Poll 2026 Live Updates: JD(U) MP Sanjay Kumar Jha stated on Wednesday that feedback from the first two phases of the West Bengal elections points to a clear “mood of change” among voters. Speaking in Patna, Jha expressed confidence that this shifting sentiment will carry the NDA to a decisive victory when the results are announced on May 4.

West Bengal Exit Poll 2026 Live Updates: West Bengal’s Panihati Assembly constituency on Wednesday saw increased political tension after Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) candidate, also mother of the RG Kar Medical College rape and murder victim, Ratna Debnath, alleged that she was targeted and threatened by Trinamool Congress (TMC) workers during voting.

West Bengal Exit Poll 2026 Live Updates: West Bengal State records over 61% turnout till 1 PM amid sporadic violence. The second and final polling phase begins today after West Bengal achieved its highest-ever voter turnout during the first polling phase.

West Bengal Exit Poll 2026 Live Updates: The West Bengal Exit Poll 2026 is Expected To Start Come Out after 6:30 pm. 

West Bengal Exit Poll 2026 Live Updates: Welcome to the live blog, stay tuned as we bring more updates of the day.