Categories: Business

Goldman Sachs Flags Urban, Rural Consumption Surge, But Investment Lags Behind

Goldman Sachs reports a rise in India’s consumption, driven by urban spending and rural growth. However, investment remains mixed due to seasonal disruptions, signaling an uneven but hopeful economic recovery.

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Published by Aishwarya Samant
Last updated: August 19, 2025 13:51:37 IST

Consumption Strengthens Across Urban India

The consumption story of Inida seems to be gaining some great momentum again. According to a new report by Goldman Sachs, that has tracked high frequency data from past few weeks has shown a clear upward trajectory in monthly consumption activity. Even though investment signal remain a little uneven and not on equal frequency. 

Urban spending, in particular, picked up speed in July. And do you think that the roads have started looking more crowded? That could be due to rising passenger vehicle sales. Petrol demand is also up, and GST collections rebounded from their earlier dip, registering a 7.5% year-on-year growth.

If you were flying around Independence Day, you weren’t alone—air passenger traffic saw a sharp jump in early August, driven by holiday travel. All this paints a picture of people stepping out and spending more.

The big question now is—can this demand hold strong through the rest of the year, or is it just a festive season tease? Either way, the signals are worth watching.

Rural Indicators Show Encouraging Growth

On the rural front, activity indicators showed a broader improvement. Tractor registrations and agricultural exports posted robust year-on-year gains of around 14 per cent and 13 per cent, respectively. Rural incomes also received a boost, with real agricultural wage growth touching 4.5 per cent in May, the highest in eight years.

Goldman Sachs noted that a strong winter crop harvest, contained food inflation, and increased welfare spending could support rural consumption in the coming months. However, the report cautioned about weather-related pressures, with temperatures rising in several regions and driving a sharper-than-expected spike in vegetable prices in July.

Investment Trends Remain Mixed Amid Seasonal Impact

In contrast to the consumption uptrend, investment activity painted a mixed picture. Coal production dropped sharply in July due to monsoon disruptions, while automobile and steel output rose. On a year-on-year basis, steel production remained strong at 11 per cent.

Transportation activity showed uneven trends, with diesel demand rising but port cargo movement staying largely unchanged. Goldman Sachs’ proprietary investment index signaled a mild slowdown, tracking 6.7 per cent growth in the third quarter of CY25 compared with 7.7 per cent in the previous quarter of the same year.

Overall, the findings from Goldman Sachs underline that while household and rural spending have continued to support growth momentum, investment activity remains under pressure from seasonal and sector-specific challenges.

(From ANI)

(Disclaimer: This content is taken from ANI Wire Service and is syndicated for informational purposes only.)

Also Read: Union Minister Piyush Goyal Moves Jan Vishwas Amendment Bill To Decriminalise Minor Offences

Published by Aishwarya Samant
Last updated: August 19, 2025 13:51:37 IST

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