Categories: Business

Stock Market in Focus: Trump’s Tariff Slashed to 18%, India–US Trade Deal Sparks Dalal Street Rally; Sensex, Nifty Set for Gap-Up, Export Sectors and FPI Inflows in Focus

Stock Market Today: Indian stock markets are set to surge after the India–US trade breakthrough. Tariffs on Indian goods cut to 18%, boosting export sectors, FPI inflows, and Dalal Street optimism for a bullish opening.

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Published by Aishwarya Samant
Last updated: February 3, 2026 08:56:09 IST

Indian Stock Market In Focus Today, To Surge After India-US Trade Breakthrough

The Indian stock markets are expected to open higher on February 3, 2026, following a significant improvement in trade relations between India and the United States. US President Donald Trump announced a bilateral trade agreement with Prime Minister Narendra Modi after their telephone conversation, which reduced tariffs on Indian imports and boosted global market confidence.

The announcement marked a clear shift from tariff threats to deal-making, a move markets welcomed overnight. Asian stock markets moved higher, while GIFT Nifty posted strong gains as investors interpreted Trump’s decision as a positive signal. With uncertainty easing and optimism rising, Dalal Street is preparing for a strong market opening, underscoring how swiftly markets react when Trump changes his tone.

Stock Market Today: GIFT Nifty Signals a Market Relief Rally

  • Focus on Markets: Attention is high after the long-awaited India-US trade agreement.
  • Tariff Cut Confirmed: President Trump announced a cut in tariffs on Indian goods to 18%, including relief linked to India’s energy purchases.
  • GIFT Nifty Reaction: The index jumped nearly 800 points at one stage before easing slightly.
  • Market Implication: The move signals a broad-based relief rally and indicates a potential gap-up opening for Indian equities.

US To Drop 25% Additional Tariff on India

Hours after the announcement, a senior White House official clarified the remaining tariff structure.

“The US will also drop the 25% additional tariff on Indian imports since India reduced purchases of Russian oil. The agreement is that India will cease, not just reduce, Russian oil purchases,”
the official told news agency ANI.

Imapct Of The India-US Trade Deal On Indian Stock Market

The Indian economy receives a major boost from tariff reductions, which especially benefit export sectors that previously paid a 50% tax.

Sector Winners

  • Textiles – The industry is expected to achieve better performance in international markets.

  • Gems & Jewellery – Companies will benefit financially through decreased import and export expenses.

  • IT Services – Improved conditions are likely to enhance profit margins.

  • Automobiles – Companies will gain a stronger international market presence and better financial results through increased export activity.

U.S.-Listed Indian Companies

  • Infosys – Stock price increased by 4.3%

  • Wipro – Stock price rose by 6.8%

  • HDFC Bank – Stock price gained 4.4%

Foreign Investment Outlook

Analysts predict that recent FII outflows are likely to reverse. The agreement removes a major geopolitical and economic constraint on Indian assets, helping to increase investor confidence.

India-US Trade Deal Brings Tariff Relief, Strengthens Market Optimism

Think of it as a trade makeover: Indian goods just got a huge tariff haircut. The overall US tariff on Indian products dropped to 18% thanks to two big moves, goodbye 25% punitive duty on Russian oil-linked imports, and a slash of the reciprocal tariff from 25% to 18%. Markets and exporters are doing a happy dance.

In return, India is playing ball by moving toward zero tariffs on US goods and halting purchases of Russian crude oil. On top of that, Trump claims India will buy over $500 billion of US energy, tech, and agricultural products.

Here’s the kicker: Trump framed this deal as a way to hit Russian oil revenues amid the Ukraine war while nudging India’s energy demand toward the US (and maybe Venezuela). For investors and exporters, it’s a triple-win: tariffs down, trade ties up, and global strategy in play. Are markets ready to cheer? Dalal Street thinks so.

What Happens Next? Stock Market Today Outlook

The Indian markets will experience a strong bullish phase after the “tariff tantrum” cloud has disappeared if the current concessions remain in effect.

Likely Market Movements

  • The Sensex and Nifty 50 will open with large gap-up movements because of increased foreign portfolio investor (FPI) investments.

  • Export-sector recovery occurs through IT, Pharma, and Textiles sectors as their margins start to improve.

  • Reliance Industries and ONGC now shift their energy sourcing methods after they complete their energy realignment process.

  • The Rupee gains value because export opportunities have improved and foreign investors have started to return.

(With Inputs From ANI And Reuters)

Also Read: What Is Shaping the Stock Market Today? 3 Overnight Changes: Trump’s Tariff Pause and India–US Deal Spark Global Market Cheer

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