
Satta Bazaar predicts Assembly Election Results 2026 trends for Assam, Bengal, TN, Kerala, Puducherry ahead of countings. Photo: Gemini.
2026 Assembly Election Results Satta Bazaar predictions: The exit polls released on Wednesday (April 29, 2026) have shown a diverse political result in five major states and a Union Territory. The poll projections indicate that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is on track to win a landslide victory in Assam and is likely to edge out the incumbent Trinamool Congress (TMC) in West Bengal. In the southern states, the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) is set to continue ruling Tamil Nadu, while the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) is likely to be back in power in Kerala after a 10-year break. In Puducherry, the AINRC-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is set to return to power, according to exit polls.
The voting turnout was high in the 2026 Assembly elections. In Tamil Nadu, the turnout was the highest ever at 85.1%, with Puducherry at the top with 91.23%. In Assam, the voter turnout was 85.91% and in Kerala it was 78.27%. On May 4, the counting of votes for all the five Assemblies will be held, and the results for candidates in West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Kerala and Assam will be announced on the same day.
The satta bazar, the informal betting market, whose predictions are often followed for its view of public opinion, has also pitched in with its opinion. Although not a scientific process, it is often viewed as a barometer for public opinion. In West Bengal, the satta market is foreshadowing a close election. The Trinamool Congress (TMC) led by Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee is expected to secure 158-161 seats, just above the mid-point. It has projected the BJP to win 127-130 seats. While the TMC is likely to emerge as the winner, the margin is much closer than its landslide victory in 2021, when it won 213 seats.
Tamil Nadu’s Chief Minister MK Stalin is battling anti-incumbency, while the ruling AIADMK-led opposition is trying to retake the state. The satta bazar is calling for a clear win by the DMK, with an estimated 141-144 seats in the 234-member Assembly, surpassing the majority threshold. Tamil Nadu has a history of power sharing between the DMK and AIADMK.
The battle in the Kerala Assembly elections is between the ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF) looking for a third consecutive term, a first in the state’s history, and a return to the state’s historical trend of alternating governments. The satta bazar is predicting the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) will claim 75-77 seats, with the LDF securing 62-64 seats.
The Assam election is considered vital for Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, who seeks to strengthen the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance’s (NDA) position in the Northeast and win a second term. The satta bazaar market is forecasting a clear win for the NDA with 97-99 seats, with the Congress-led alliance expected to secure 23-25 seats. This will be a gain from the NDA’s 75 seats in 2021.
In Puducherry, the stakes are over whether Chief Minister N Rangaswamy will be able to hold onto power as the Congress has stepped up its campaign. Although specific satta numbers are sparse, the overall forecasts suggest the AINRC-led NDA remains ahead in the 30-member Assembly.
(DISCLAIMER: Gambling is prohibited except where allowed under specific state laws. NewsX does not guarantee the accuracy of these projections or endorse any form of betting activity.)
Zubair Amin is a Senior Journalist at NewsX with over seven years of experience in reporting and editorial work. He has written for leading national and international publications, including Foreign Policy Magazine, Al Jazeera, The Economic Times, The Indian Express, The Wire, Article 14, Mongabay, News9, among others. His primary focus is on international affairs, with a strong interest in US politics and policy. He also writes on West Asia, Indian polity, and constitutional issues. Zubair tweets at zubaiyr.amin
Pune Gas Leak: A chlorine gas leak from an abandoned tank in Kondhwa left 24…
Get a detailed review of The Boys Season 5 Episode 5 ‘One-Shots’, exploring Firecracker’s shocking…
The AP SSC Class 10 Result 2026 has been announced today at 11 am by…