Bihar Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: Follow the latest updates as NDA, INDIA bloc, and Jan Suraaj Party battle for power in the Bihar Assembly Elections.
Bihar Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: The Bharatiya Janata Party and the Janata Dal United (along with their minor allies, such as the Lok Janshakti Party led by Chirag Paswan) are expected to win the 2025 Bihar Assembly election by a comfortable margin of 130-167 seats, according to the data shown by various exit polls forecasted Tuesday, November 11.
As a result, the opposition alliance led by the Rashtriya Janata Dal, including the Congress that reluctantly decided to allow the RJD to nominate Tejashwi Yadav as the chief minister of the state will be defeated, the data indicated.
As per reports, Mahagathbandhan only stands a chance of 70-108, hardly less than 75, the RJD secured on its own five years back, when the alliance was left in the striking distance of the majority mark.
Most importantly, the Jan Suraaj Party of poll strategist Prashant Kishor, which can be termed as dark horse capable of playing the role of kingmaker in a politically unstable state, is likely to meet its crash on election day.
A high voter turnout (67.14% provisional) across the constituencies was used to usher in the second and last round of the Bihar Assembly elections till 5 pm.
Leaders in Focus
Nitish Kumar (JDU) – Known for governance record and coalition management.
Tejashwi Yadav (RJD) – Focus on youth engagement and anti-incumbency sentiment.
Prashant Kishor (JSP) – New party influencing voter sentiment in targeted regions.
ALSO READ: Bihar Election 2025 LIVE: Will Phase 2 Beat Phase 1’s Turnout? Check Voting % at 9, 11, 1, 3 & 5 PM
The latest Chanakya Cast Analysis, released today, indicates a strong showing for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in the Bihar elections. #TCAnalysis#BiharElection2025Bihar 2025Caste Analysis – Brahmin, Baniya & RajputBJP+ 63% ± 3%RJD+ 19% ± 3%#TodaysChanakyaAnalysis — Today’s Chanakya (@TodaysChanakya) November 12, 2025#TCAnalysis#BiharElection2025Bihar 2025Caste Analysis – YadavBJP+ 23% ± 3%RJD+ 67% ± 3%#TodaysChanakyaAnalysis— Today’s Chanakya (@TodaysChanakya) November 12, 2025 #TCAnalysis#BiharElection2025Bihar 2025Caste Analysis – MuslimBJP+ 12% ± 3%RJD+ 69% ± 3%#TodaysChanakyaAnalysis — Today’s Chanakya (@TodaysChanakya) November 12, 2025 #TCAnalysis#BiharElection2025Bihar 2025Caste Analysis – SCBJP+ 58% ± 3%RJD+ 26% ± 3%#TodaysChanakyaAnalysis — Today’s Chanakya (@TodaysChanakya) November 12, 2025 #TCAnalysis#BiharElection2025Bihar 2025Caste Analysis – OBC & EBCBJP+ 55% ± 3%RJD+ 24% ± 3%#TodaysChanakyaAnalysis —...
Exit Poll of Axis My India Gives a Clean Sweep to NDA in the Bihar Assembly Elections 2025.
Post 17 of 17 – Bihar – Exit Poll – Overall Seat Share (243 Seats) & Vote Share (%)#BiharElections2025#BiharElections#ExitPoll#AxisMyIndia@PradeepGuptaAMI pic.twitter.com/pSd7aYzO3w
— Axis My India (@AxisMyIndia) November 12, 2025
AICC General Secretary K.C. Venugopal said India cannot believe that exit poll results, and field reports from Congress workers in Bihar suggest that the wind is blowing in favour of the ‘Mahagathbandhan.’
He added, “What were the exit poll results after the Haryana elections? A landslide victory for Congress was predicted, but the results came in a different way. So let us wait for the results to come.”
Bihar BJP President Dilip Jaiswal says, “The recently concluded elections have clearly shown the mood of the voters. The NDA government is going to be formed in Bihar. Women have greatly influenced these elections…”