Bihar Exit Polls: Exit polls released on Tuesday evening, following the conclusion of the final phase of voting in the 2025 Bihar Assembly elections, predict a decisive victory for the ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA). The NDA, led by the BJP and JDU, is projected to finish well above the majority mark, while the opposition Mahagathbandhan appears to be trailing significantly.
NDA Projected To Win 2025 Bihar Assembly By Multiple Exit Polls
As many as seven pollsters, including Matrize, People’s Pulse and Dainik Bhaskar, have estimated that the NDA could secure between 133 and 167 of the 243 seats in the Assembly. The majority mark stands at 122. The Mahagathbandhan, comprising the RJD, Congress and Left parties, is placed in the range of 70 to 102 seats across these surveys.
Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj Party, which had drawn attention for its statewide outreach campaign, appears to have made a limited electoral impact, with projections varying from 0 to 5 seats.
Pollster-Wise Projections For 2025 Bihar Assembly Elections
JVC Exit Poll
NDA: 135–150
Mahagathbandhan: 88–103
Others: 3–7
P-Marq Exit Poll
P-Marq’s projections place the NDA comfortably ahead.
NDA: 142–162
Mahagathbandhan: 80–98
Jan Suraaj: 1–4
Others: 0–3
Dainik Bhaskar Exit Poll
Dainik Bhaskar has also forecast an NDA return to power.
NDA: 145–160
Mahagathbandhan: 73–91
Jan Suraaj: 0–3
Others: 5–7
People’s Insight Exit Poll
People’s Insight predicts a strong showing for the ruling alliance.
NDA: 133–148
Mahagathbandhan: 87–102
Jan Suraaj: 0–2
Others: 3–6
Matrize Exit Poll
Matrize projects one of the highest tallies for the NDA.
NDA: 147–167
Mahagathbandhan: 70–90
Polstrat Exit Poll
Polstrat’s projections also show the NDA in a clear lead.
NDA: 133–148
Mahagathbandhan: 87–102
Others: 3–5
Bihar Assembly Election Results
While exit polls indicate a strong lead for the NDA, the final picture will become clear once counting concludes on November 14. Counting is scheduled to begin at 8 am across all 38 districts under heightened security measures.
Zubair Amin is a Senior Journalist at NewsX with over seven years of experience in reporting and editorial work. He has written for leading national and international publications, including Foreign Policy Magazine, Al Jazeera, The Economic Times, The Indian Express, The Wire, Article 14, Mongabay, News9, among others. His primary focus is on international affairs, with a strong interest in US politics and policy. He also writes on West Asia, Indian polity, and constitutional issues. Zubair tweets at zubaiyr.amin
